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Entry Date
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Nick Name
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Location
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Friday, October 26, 2018
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Joze (Joe Ailts)
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Deer Park, WI
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Entry 3 of 6 |
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Historical top pumpkin and top ten average pumpkins by year since 2006, updated for the 2018 growing season. Incredibly highly correlated linear fit projections for 2019, 20, & 21 seasons included. Data continues to suggest 3000lb milestone may be threatened in 2021 season. Notable observation regarding predictive quality of data: 2006-2017 data set suggested a 2018 top weight pumpkin of 2668lbs, which is only 3.7% variance from the actual top pumpkin weighing 2528lbs. Even more intriguing, 2006-2017 data projected top ten average weight of 2300lbs, actual top ten weight was 2291lbs, which is only 0.3% variance. It is unreal how tight this linear projection is functioning. If we lean on this data to project 2019, it suggests top pumpkin weight of 2771lbs and a top ten average of 2367lbs. Check back October 2019 for an update.
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